Tag: Economy

Though the U.S. economy has seemingly survived a worst-case scenario recession (for now), debt is rising as a rapid rate for consumers, businesses and the U.S. government.

New Zealand’s government outlined a soft economy with rising unemployment and a weaker balance sheet of modest tax relief but lowered new spending—facing much criticism for neglecting the country’s indigenous population.

Dollar dominance—the outsized role of the US dollar in the world economy—has been brought into focus recently as the robustness of the US economy, tighter monetary policy and heightened geopolitical risk have contributed to a higher greenback valuation.

A long-running domestic political battle over controversial judicial reforms receded into irrelevance on October 7, the date on which Hamas militants based in the Gaza Strip launched a coordinated assault on mostly civilian targets inside Israel that resulted in more than 1,100 deaths and the capture of more than 250 hostages. Under the direction of a special war Cabinet that includes Benny Gantz, a former head of the IDF and the leader of the opposition National Unity, which joined an expanded emergency government, Israel initiated a scorched-earth ground invasion inside Gaza in late October.

Despite higher interest rates, the Canadian economy is exceeding expectations and has dodged the predicted 2023 recession. Real GDP at basic prices grew 0.6% in January (7.4% annualized), and preliminary estimates pointed to 0.4% growth in February (4.9% annualized). This suggests that growth in the first quarter of 2024 is on track for around 3.5%, according to data from Statistics Canada.

NACM’s April Credit Managers’ Index (CMI) fell back to where it started in 2024 with a 3.1-point drop. Why it matters: Now sitting at 51.8, the Survey erased the major gains made in February and March.

NACM’s March Credit Managers’ Index (CMI) improved to its highest reading since 2023 with a jump of 2.5 points. Why it matters: Now sitting at 54.9, the Survey indicates some relief for the business economy. “The CMI seems to be picking up some steam, with a second month of improvement and a breakout of the tight band in which it had been for eight months,” said NACM Economist Amy Crews Cutts, Ph.D., CBE.

The U.S. economy kicked off 2024 powerfully. Business activity, labor markets, sentiment and inflation indicators have been trending favorably. Yet, we must stay vigilant as rising consumer debt and high interest rates threaten to slow down economic growth.

It’s a new month and the good news is that Congress finally passed a government funding bill that lasts through September; unfortunately, it’s only half of the government.