Economy Archive

NACM’s April Credit Managers’ Index (CMI) fell back to where it started in 2024 with a 3.1-point drop. Why it matters: Now sitting at 51.8, the Survey erased the major gains made in February and March. “After two months of improvement, the CMI has fallen back to near where it started the year, in expansion but weakly so,” said NACM Economist Amy Crews Cutts, Ph.D., CBE.

The tragic collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge last week—claiming the lives of six construction workers—has residents in the Baltimore area in shock.

NACM’s March Credit Managers’ Index (CMI) improved to its highest reading since 2023 with a jump of 2.5 points. Why it matters: Now sitting at 54.9, the Survey indicates some relief for the business economy. “The CMI seems to be picking up some steam, with a second month of improvement and a breakout of the tight band in which it had been for eight months,” said NACM Economist Amy Crews Cutts, Ph.D., CBE.

The U.S. economy kicked off 2024 powerfully. Business activity, labor markets, sentiment and inflation indicators have been trending favorably. Yet, we must stay vigilant as rising consumer debt and high interest rates threaten to slow down economic growth.

It’s a new month and the good news is that Congress finally passed a government funding bill that lasts through September; unfortunately, it’s only half of the government.

Rising labor costs, new environmental regulations and a mixed outlook on construction volume present significant challenges to the industry. However, declining fuel costs and controlled inflation offer some relief.

NACM’s February Credit Managers’ Index (CMI) remains stubbornly close to contraction territory despite improving 1.3 points to 52.4. “We did not fall into formal recession in 2023 and we might not in 2024, but for many credit managers, it’s as if a recession is well underway,” said NACM Economist Amy Crews Cutts, Ph.D., CBE.

The agricultural economy is expected to significantly expand by 2024. However, potential obstacles such as increasing production costs from inflation and high interest rates, fluctuating market prices, climate change and global crises like the Russian-Ukraine conflict may hinder this growth.